{"id":5183,"date":"2010-04-05T03:00:07","date_gmt":"2010-04-05T08:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/?p=5183"},"modified":"2010-04-05T03:00:07","modified_gmt":"2010-04-05T08:00:07","slug":"come-on-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/archives\/5183","title":{"rendered":"Come on Down!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.discovermagazine.com\/notrocketscience\/2010\/04\/02\/pigeons-outperform-humans-at-the-monty-hall-dilemma\/\">Pigeons outperform humans at the Monty Hall Dilemma<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Pigeons, on the other hand, rely on experience to work out probabilities. They have a go, and they choose the strategy that seems to be paying off best. They also seem immune to a quirk of ours called \u201cprobability matching\u201d. If the odds of winning by switching are two in three, we\u2019ll switch on two out of three occasions, even though that\u2019s a worse strategy than always switching. This is, of course, exactly what the students in Hebranson and Schroder\u2019s experiments did. The pigeons, on the other hand, always switched \u2013 no probability matching for them.<\/p>\n<p>In short, pigeons succeed because they don\u2019t over-think the problem. It\u2019s telling that among humans, it\u2019s the youngest students who do best at this puzzle. Eighth graders are actually more likely to work out the benefits of switching than older and supposedly wiser university students. Education, it seems, actually worsens our performance at the Monty Hall Dilemma.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Pigeons are also unwelcome at casinos, but this may not solely be due to their immunity to the gambler&#8217;s fallacy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pigeons outperform humans at the Monty Hall Dilemma Pigeons, on the other hand, rely on experience to work out probabilities. They have a go, and they choose the strategy that seems to be paying off best. They also seem immune &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/archives\/5183\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5183","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-math","category-other-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5183"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5183\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5183"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5183"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blogs.scienceforums.net\/swansont\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}