Making Sense of Some Mind-Boggling Stats

Stray Thoughts on 1962

Questions about the connection between gaudy stats and helping your team to win aside, a look at a comparison between the insane stats posted in 1962 and what’s going on today, in terms of the pacing of the game, then vs now.

Okay, so you’ve all seen Wilt and Oscar’s numbers from 1962… but have you ever sat down and looked at the league averages that year? In ‘62, the average team took 107.7 shots per game. By comparison, this year the average team takes 80.2 FGA/G. If we use a regression to estimate turnovers & offensive rebounds, the league pace factor for 1962 was 125.5 possessions/48 minutes, whereas this year it’s 91.7. Oscar’s Royals averaged 124.7 poss/48, while Wilt’s Warriors put up a staggering 129.7 (the highest mark in the league). On the other hand, the 2009 Cavs are averaging a mere 89.2 poss/48. It turns out that the simplest explanation for the crazy statistical feats of 1961-62 (and the early sixties in general) is just that the league was playing at a much faster tempo in those days, with more possessions affording players more opportunities to amass gaudy counting statistics.

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It's Pure … Something

Tiger Woods’ game after surgery may be pure physics

Woods’ swing has been the envy of golfers around the world ever since he burst onto the professional scene in 1996.

His action is pure efficiency, combining hip, shoulder and wrist motion to exert the greatest possible force on the ball.

Pure efficiency? Does that make him the Carnot of golf. Perhaps we should refer to the swing as the “Woods cycle.”

The applied physics of his swing propels the club head at an estimated 125 mph at the point of impact with the ball but it also concentrates intense and repeated kinetic energy on his left knee.

Ooh, concentrated intense and repeated kinetic energy? That made me wince, but not from ligament damage.

Much of the rest of the article is about biology and medicine. I don’t know how badly mangled that is.