No Confidence

Odds Are, it’s Wrong

They seem to be looking specifically at medical (and related) research; I don’t know if there is a greater prevalence of an underlying problem — not publishing null results — in those fields as compared to elsewhere.

Over the years, hundreds of published papers have warned that science’s love affair with statistics has spawned countless illegitimate findings. In fact, if you believe what you read in the scientific literature, you shouldn’t believe what you read in the scientific literature.

“There is increasing concern,” declared epidemiologist John Ioannidis in a highly cited 2005 paper in PLoS Medicine, “that in modern research, false findings may be the majority or even the vast majority of published research claims.”

Not-So-Sudden Death

NFL to examine 2 possessions in playoffs OT

NFL owners will vote next week whether to allow each team a possession in overtime in the playoffs if the team winning the OT coin toss kicks a field goal on the first series.

This seems a little odd. I wonder if the purpose is to entice teams to go for the TD which would end the game, rather than settle for the field goal. But I looked at my fantasy league statistics from this past year (the NFL site didn’t have league-wide stats) and there were about 800 field goals vs 1200 offensive TDs, so scoring a TD is more likely.