3-D Pong

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This is not human-piloted …

The vehicles/ball are tracked by an overhead motion capture system and controlled by a pair of computers.

I'll Take Perspective for $200, Alex

Deaths per TWH by energy source

What is the worst kind of power plant disaster? Hint: It’s not nuclear.

The disaster in Tokyo is horrific, and we aren’t trying to say it isn’t a terrible situation. The question we’re trying to answer rationally here is whether nuclear power plant accidents cause more damage than other kinds of power plants. We’ve put together a list of five of the worst power plant disasters in recent history, measured by death toll, monetary damage, and regions affected. The lesson? The issue isn’t so much the kind of energy you use, but how you design the power plants that contain it.

Misplaced Angst

Your iPod is polluting China and L.A.—and Wyoming might be next

You may have been aware too that in manufacturing your electronic marvel, the Shenzhen plant emitted roughly 25 pounds of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide. It’s even possible that you were aware of the 9-10 pounds of CO2 emitted in transporting the device to you from China.

Oh my GOD! 35 POUNDS of CO2 in getting my iPod delivered to me. That’s horrible!

Um, no, not really.

Bbbbut, 35 POUNDS!

Let’s look at that. Of 35 pounds (16 kg), about 9.5 lbs (a little over 4 kg) is Carbon. Two gallons of gasoline contain 11 pounds of Carbon. It sounds like a lot, but realize that driving 10,000 miles a year in a car that gets 25 mpg you dump 4 tons of CO2 into the atmosphere. Context matters.

Further, the blurb about China burning coal to generate the electricity to do the manufacturing needs to put in context as well. In the United States, the average person uses FOUR TIMES as much electricity as the average person in China. Add to that the China has been aggressively pursuing green energy — they already lead the US in wind energy generation, and are pushing forward in solar while we drag our feet. The US is not “greener than thou” and shifting the blame for pollution/CO2 distracts from the need to get our own house in order.

Let's Overreact Some More

There are calls to shut down US reactors owing to earthquake concerns, despite the Japan situation being caused by a tsunami (which resulted from an earthquake).

Global earthquake activity since 1973 and nuclear power plant locations

This map shows a heatmap of 175,000 4.5+ magnitude earthquakes since 1973 based on data from the USGS (United States Geological Survey). And worldwide locations of nuclear power stations using information from the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)

Amazing display revealing where the major fault lines are, along with the realization that there have been more than 175,000 earthquakes above this magnitude (and many more weaker than this) in the last (almost) 40 years and how few reactors are actually near earthquake activity.

Those Procrastinating Radionuclides

In all the discussion of nuclear power, there’s one bit that hasn’t been discussed in any of the summaries, which may be a good thing because I’m not confident that the general science media would get it right: How can you control the fission reaction in a reactor?

First, a bit of terminology. A critical reactor is one in which each fission result in one neutron, on average, inducing another fission. Which makes the fission rate from this chain reaction constant. So all those times you’ve seen on a TV show or in a movie, where a character shrieks, “OH my GOD! The reactor has gone CRITICAL!” it’s really no big deal. The population of neutrons from fission is constant over some period of time. If you are supercritical this population is increasing, and subcritical means it is decreasing. And the rate of fissioning is proportional to the neutron population.

The neutrons that come from fission (called “prompt neutrons,” for reasons which should become clear shortly) have a lot of energy — an MeV or so, typically, so they are called “fast,” — and they bounce around, scattering off nuclei and losing energy in those collisions. Most of the collisions are with the material that’s there for the express purpose of slowing the neutrons down — the moderator — and if the neutron gets down to thermal energies (“slow” or “thermal” neutrons) before it leaks out of the reactor or gets captured by some nucleus, it can be absorbed by the uranium and induce another fission. And this happens really quickly. A matter of a few tens of microseconds. It’s convenient to look at this in discrete steps, even though the reactions are continuous: each set of fissions releases neutrons which slow down or are lost, and these then induce more fissions. That constitutes a generation with some characteristic lifetime. If the lifetime were that of prompt neutrons alone there’s no way you could ever control a nuclear reactor. Because when a reactor is supercritical, the effect compounds: more than one neutron survives to cause a fission, which means more fissions, which gives you even more neutrons, and so on, ad infinitum. And if your time constant for doing this compounding is 25 microseconds, that’s of order 40,00 generations in just one second. Even if you had just a 0.01% increase in population per generation, you’d increase the population (and power) by a factor of 50 in just one second. There are no systems that could react fast enough to stay within reasonable limits.

But that’s not the whole picture. Not all neutrons come directly from the fission process. Some neutrons appear as the result of beta decays. Beta minus decay occurs in nuclei that have an overabundance of neutrons, and as you look at nuclei that are far from stability (that is, it takes several decays before you would end up with a stable nucleus) there is a tendency for the decays to release more energy and happen quicker.

In beta minus decay, a neutron changes into a proton and a positron and neutrino are emitted from the nucleus. This “reshuffles” the nucleus and the energy states it has; in a lot of cases, the daughter nucleus is not in the ground state, so a gamma is also emitted as it de-excites. For some nuclei far from stability, there is so much energy left over that the nucleus can emit a neutron instead of a gamma. But before this neutron can appear, we have to wait for the beta decay to happen, and that delay is on a time scale best measured in seconds. These are called “delayed neutrons,” and they comprise a little less than 1% of the neutrons from fissions in a critical reactor. But because they take so relatively long to appear, the effective generation time is much greater. Which means only a handful of neutron generations will occur in the time it would take for the system to respond — the reactor is actually subcritical from just the prompt neutrons, and any neutron population increase is relying on decays that won’t occur for around a second.

This works as long as the reactor is subcritical on prompt neutrons. If the reactor went “prompt critical” there would be a spike in power before the system could respond; this is what happened at Chernobyl, because safeguards were intentionally disabled and procedures violated in order to run a test. In a bomb the design is to be highly prompt supercritical using fast neutrons; you aren’t thermalizing neutrons or relying on delayed neutrons for anything. One of many ways a bomb is different from a reactor.

How Powerful is a Steam Explosion, Anyway?

In case you were wondering, in light of the nuclear power problems in Japan, why the prospect of water flashing to steam is an issue.

Steam explosion from a 1L sealed bottle, almost full of water. Don’t try this at home.

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I Rate it "Meh Plus"

@edyong209 tweeted that this was the “Best explanation I’ve read of how nuclear power plants work”

Overall it’s not too bad; I’ve seen worse, and there is some good information. But let’s look at what the reporter got wrong.

A fission reaction is a lot like a table filled with Jenga games, each stack of blocks standing close to another stack. Pull out the right block, and one Jenga stack will fall. As it does, it collapses into the surrounding stacks. As those stacks tumble, they crash into others. Nuclear fission works the same way–one unstable atom breaks apart, throwing off pieces of itself, which crash into nearby atoms and cause those to break apart, too.

I’ll ignore the unquoted part where he treats heat as a substance (a far more ingrained conceptual issue). The atom throwing off pieces of itself is really throwing off two fission fragments, which don’t go very far — they’re highly charged nuclei (the electrons get left behind) and they deposit their kinetic energy in a short distance, which is where most of the energy is deposited, and why the reactor heats up. The parts that cause more fissions are neutrons. They are uncharged, and can travel a greater distance — they don’t have to hit an adjacent nucleus. The Jenga analogy isn’t horrible, but it’s not great, either.

The neutrons don’t cause another fission because they have lots of energy, which is implied by the description. Quite the opposite — a slow moving neutron has a greater chance of interacting with a U-235 nucleus and inducing fission, which is why you put a moderator in the reactor — it’s something the neutrons can hit and lose energy to, but isn’t likely to capture the neutron — you don’t want to lose any more neutrons to non-fission reactions than you have to.

The author continues to imply that the atoms hit each other through the article; I’m not going to call out each instance.

Proximity is also what makes the difference between a nuclear bomb, and the controlled fission reaction in a power plant. In the bomb, the reactions happen—and the energy is released—very quickly. In the power plant, that process is slowed down by control rods. These work like putting a piece of cardboard between two Jenga towers. The first tower falls, but it hits a barrier instead of the next tower. Of all the atoms that could be split, only a few are allowed to actually do it. And, instead of an explosion, you end up with a manageable amount of heat energy, which can be used to boil water.

Control rods aren’t the only difference between a bomb and a reactor. If you somehow managed to pull all the control rods out of the core you’d have a nasty nuclear accident on your hands, but no nuclear explosion.

When a reactor core is shut down, its energy output drops not to zero, but about 6% of its normal output, Forsberg told me. The reactions grind to a halt over the next few days, as the falling Jenga towers run out of other towers they can actually hit. In the meantime, atoms keep breaking apart, releasing both heat and fast-moving particles that can penetrate human skin and damage our cells. Because of this, every nuclear reactor has ways of getting rid of the heat, and blocking those fast-moving radioactive particles.

and at the end

And then what happens? Remember, this is really just an emergency shutdown gone awry. The control rods are still in place. The Jenga columns are still separated. So, over time, the fission reactions will still slow down and stop. As they do, heat levels will drop, and so will levels of radiation.

The author first implies and then explicitly states that fission reactions are the cause of this power output, and it’s not. As I previously explained, this power comes from the decay of fission products. The reactions slow down because the short-lived products decay away quickly (which is why they are called short-lived). Not fission — this fission rate has been reduced by many orders of magnitude, to the point where heating from it is negligible.

Edit: You really should read this.

Pew! Pew! Pew!

You’ll shoot your eye out…with a 1MW laser pulse pistol

Fitted with a Q-switched Nd:YAG laser, it fires off a 1 MW blast of infrared light once the capacitors have fully charged. The duration of the laser pulse is somewhere near 100ns, so he was unable to catch it on camera, but its effects are easily visible in whatever medium he has fired upon. The laser can burst balloons, shoot through plastic, and even blow a hole right through a razor blade.

I Stayed at a Holiday Inn Express Last Night

I’m not an expert on nuclear reactors. I taught in the nuclear power program of the US Navy some years ago, meaning I was competent to discuss some aspects of reactors, and specifically the type the navy uses. So I’m also not some random guy in the street. With that disclaimer in mind, there are a few items to mention with regard to the reactor issues in Japan following the earthquake.

This is not another Chernobyl. The reactor design is very different, and the circumstances are different. The Chernobyl accident (link for the more technically inclined) involved an operating reactor that went prompt critical as the result of operational errors, deliberate disabling of certain safeguards as part of a test, and design flaws. This caused a steam explosion and chemical fires as the carbon moderator caught fire.

A closer analogy would be Three Mile Island.

There have been reports of an explosion, but it must be stressed that this was not a nuclear explosion. The reactors have been shut down. It’s not so easy to cause a nuclear explosion in the first place (bombs require a level of expertise), and a shutdown reactor does not have the capability of sustaining the fission reaction. This leaves us with steam pressure buildup or hydrogen as the most likely culprits, i.e. it’s thermodynamics or chemistry, not nuclear physics, which explains the explosion.

The reactor is shut down, so what’s the danger? The products of a fission reaction are typically radioactive, and subsequent decays also release energy. Shutting down the reactor reduces the fission rate by many orders of magnitude, so it’s effectively zero in terms of heat output, but the radioactive fission products still release up to 6-7% of the plant’s power output. The actual value depends on the operating history; the fission products with long half-lives take longer to build up to steady-state values. This value will drop fairly quickly as the short-lived isotopes decay, but it’s still significant — a reactor rated at 1000 MW will still be producing tens of MW of decay heat. The reactors in question at Fukushima Daiichi are rated at 460 or 784 MW (edit 3/15: AFAIK that’s electrical output; if so, the thermal output is ~ 3x higher)

So shutting down does not mean it’s Miller Time? Right. You need to run pumps and do something with the energy, which usually means piping water to a cooling tower, which means you need to run pumps, and those require electricity. It seems silly, at first glance, that a reactor would need a source of power to run it, but the turbines are probably designed to run at the high power output of the reactor and not off of decay heat. So you have an external power line (lost in the quake), local generators (apparently also damaged) and battery backup. Redundant systems. However, it seems that the damage was severe, so the primary and first backup systems are still offline, and if cooling was lost (batteries have a finite lifetime), the water in the core can boil away.

That sounds bad. Yes. As long as the core stays covered with water, things should be fine. But uncovered, the temperature can rise and fuel elements can begin to melt. Hydrogen is produced, which can explode, and boiling water becomes steam, which raises the pressure in the containment vessel. The latter is why the containment vessel would be vented. You would need to replace that water into the system, which also requires pumps. (This what had happened at TMI, though in that case, the cooling pumps were shut off deliberately owing to a flawed procedure)

So this is serious. Nothing here is meant to imply otherwise. But the term “meltdown” (or worse, if preceded by “Chernobyl-like”) raises all sorts of imagery, most of which is inaccurate.

Here are some links from what look to be credible sources. This is a dynamic situation, so there is a shelf-life to the details.
Nuclear Crisis in Japan: What We Know
Factbox: What happens when a reactor loses coolant