In Business, There are Five Forces

Or so I gather from The Five Forces Circles of Hell

A discussion of some of those “five forces” (Supplier Power, Customer Power, Threat of New Entrants, Threat of Substitute Products, Industry Rivalry) with a couple of examples of exploiting them, offensively (good) and defensively (bad). i.e. pleasing the customer is an aggressive and good exploitation of some of these forces, while defensive implementation to protect your business model often ignores the satisfaction of the customer (which is, for sake of argument, a bad thing™).

All Blockbuster does today is provide, at great expense, an elaborate distribution channel to deliver very cheap plastic discs with expensive data on them to every neighborhood in every major city and town in the country. As soon as DVDs became the predominant data format, Blockbuster became nothing more than a highly expensive, slow, ultra-high latency internet with a data warehouse limited by inventory practicalities. Of course, DVDs did eliminate the hated “rewind charge,” but that’s another story. All Blockbuster is really doing is delivering digital data. Poorly.

Which is, of course, followed by “Enter Netflix, stage left,” followed by “Enter high-speed, high bandwidth internet, stage right.”

and

The success of the iPod and iTunes is based more on breaking arbitrary restrictions on consumers than anything else. Jobs has almost done for music what Netflix did for video rental. The process is simple. Admit that commodity pricing is on the horizon and, rather than cling to old models, simply implement it. We aren’t quite at the point where iTunes is a flat-fee per month for unlimited downloads, but a fixed per-song price is an amazing advance considering the artificial technical restrictions the music industry has imposed. And at least here we are paying for content, not for distribution.

via Daring Fireball

Top Dog

The Red Baron’s streak was partly skill but mostly luck. “Theory of aces: high score by skill or luck?” by Simkin and Roychowdhury, from the arxiv blog

We find that the variance of this skill distribution is not very large, and that the top aces achieved their victory scores mostly by luck. For example, the ace of aces, Manfred von Richthofen, most likely had a skill in the top quarter of the active WWI German fighter pilots, and was no more special than that.

And while I’m on the topic, there’s an issue with the Royal Guardsmen’s “Snoopy vs. the Red Baron”

Eighty men died tryin’ to end that spree

It wasn’t a spree until after several, or at the very least two, men had died. OK, I’ll accept artistic license.

(and since the Germans required that “The opponent aircraft had to be either destroyed or forced to lend [sic] on German territory and its crew taken prisoners.” in order to be a victory, so when Snoopy was shot down part way through the song, that wasn’t one of the 80.)